Workshop: Environmental Risk Modeling and Extreme Events

August 28-31, 2017

Program

 

Monday, August 28, 2017

08:00 - 08:30
Registration and Coffee & Croissants


Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll

08:30 - 09:15
Paul Kovacs
(Western University)
Extreme events, disasters, and catastrophes implications for the insurance industry
Abstract
09:15 - 10:00
Kathy Jacobs
(University of Arizona)
The Realities of Science and Decision-making
Abstract
10:00 - 10:30
Coffee break
10:30 - 11:15
Hugo Winter
(EDF Energy R&D UK Centre)
Improved natural hazard characterisation using multivariate extreme value models in an industrial context
Abstract
11:15 - 12:00
Jana Sillmann
(CICERO)
Statistical modeling of extreme heatwaves to support decision-making
Abstract
12:00 - 14:00
Lunch break
14:00 - 14:45
Eric Gilleland
(National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Extreme value analysis with the R package extRemes
Abstract
14:45 - 15:15
Poster Introductions (1)
15:15 - 18:00
Poster Session (1) and Welcome Reception
Room(s) Salon Maurice-l’Abbé, Pavillon André-Aisenstadt

 

Tuesday, August 29, 2017

08:00 - 08:30
Coffee & Croissants


Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll

08:30 - 09:15
Lai-yung Ruby Leung
(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)
Modeling the large-scale environments of long-lived mesoscale convective systems conducive to heavy precipitation in the Central United States
Abstract
09:15 - 10:00
Frances Moore
(UC Davis)
Detecting the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Agriculture
Abstract
10:00 - 10:30
Coffee break
10:30 - 11:15
Dan Cooley
(Colorado State University)
Principal Component Decomposition and Completely Positive Decomposition of Dependence for Multivariate Extremes
Abstract
11:15 - 12:00
Jenny Wadsworth
(Lancaster University)
Flexible models for spatial extremes
Abstract
12:00 - 14:00
Lunch break
14:00 - 14:45
Petra Friederichs
(Universität Bonn)
Ensemble post-processing for spatial wind gusts
Abstract
14:45 - 15:30
Ben Youngman
(University of Exeter)
Spatio-temporal generalised additive models for extremes: an application to return level estimation for US wind gusts
Abstract
15:30 - 16:00
Poster Introductions (2)
16:00 - 17:00
Poster Session (2) and Coffee

18:00
Banquet - HEC Montréal

 

Wednesday, August 30, 2017

08:00 - 08:30
Coffee & Croissants


Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll

08:30 - 09:15
Alexis Hannart
(CNRS - UMI IFAECI)
Inferring the spatial dependence between binary variables: application to extreme precipitation
Abstract
09:15 - 10:00
Francis W. Zwiers
(Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria)
10:00 - 10:30
Coffee break
10:30 - 11:15
Ben Shaby
(Penn State University)
Temporal Dependence in Extreme Santa Ana Winds
Abstract
11:15 - 12:00
Douglas Woolford
(University of Western Ontario)
Modelling Wildland Fire Risk: Examples, Challenges and Opportunities
Abstract
12:00 - 14:00
Lunch break
14:00 - 14:45
Mathieu Ribatet
(Université de Montpellier)
Statistical modelling of spatial extremes using the SpatialExtremes package
Abstract
14:45 - 15:00
Coffee break
15:00 - 17:00
Panel Discussion

 

Thursday, August 31, 2017

08:00 - 08:30
Coffee & Croissants


Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll

08:30 - 09:15
Claudia Tebaldi
(NCAR UCAR)
Characterizing changes in storm surges and flood risk in the presence of sea level rise: statistical approaches and challenges
Abstract
09:15 - 10:00
Amir AghaKouchak
(University of California, Irvine)
Multivariate Analysis in Hydrology and Climate Studies
Abstract
10:00 - 10:30
Coffee break
10:30 - 11:15
Jun Yan
(University of Connecticut)
Balancing the Variance Bias Tradeoff in Extreme Value Analysis with Applications to Return Level Mapping
Abstract
11:15 - 12:00
Anthony C. Davison
(École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne)