Workshop: Environmental Risk Modeling and Extreme EventsAugust 28-31, 2017Program |
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Monday, August 28, 2017 |
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08:00 - 08:30
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Registration and Coffee & Croissants
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Session I
Chair : F. Zwiers Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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08:30 - 09:15
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Paul Kovacs
(Western University) Extreme events, disasters, and catastrophes implications for the insurance industry | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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09:15 - 10:00
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Kathy Jacobs
(University of Arizona) The Realities of Science and Decision-making | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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10:00 - 10:30
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Coffee break
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Session II
Chair : D. Cooley Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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10:30 - 11:15
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Hugo Winter
(EDF Energy R&D UK Centre) Improved natural hazard characterisation using multivariate extreme value models in an industrial context | Abstract |
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11:15 - 12:00
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Jana Sillmann
(CICERO) Statistical modeling of extreme heatwaves to support decision-making | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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12:00 - 14:00
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Lunch break
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Session III
Chair : M. Ribatet Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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14:00 - 14:45
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Eric Gilleland
(National Center for Atmospheric Research) Extreme value analysis with the R package extRemes | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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Session IV
Chair : D. Dupuis Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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14:45 - 15:15
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Poster Introductions (1)
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15:15 - 18:00
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Poster Session (1) and Welcome Reception
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Room(s) Salon Maurice-l’Abbé, Pavillon André-Aisenstadt
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Tuesday, August 29, 2017 |
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08:00 - 08:30
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Coffee & Croissants
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Session I
Chair : J. Sillmann Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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08:30 - 09:15
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Lai-yung Ruby Leung
(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory) Modeling the large-scale environments of long-lived mesoscale convective systems conducive to heavy precipitation in the Central United States | Abstract |
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09:15 - 10:00
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Francis W. Zwiers
(Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, University of Victoria) Probable maximum precipitation estimation and uncertainty quantification using bivariate extreme value analysis | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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10:00 - 10:30
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Coffee break
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Session II
Chair : A. Davison Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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10:30 - 11:15
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Dan Cooley
(Colorado State University) Principal Component Decomposition and Completely Positive Decomposition of Dependence for Multivariate Extremes | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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11:15 - 12:00
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Jenny Wadsworth
(Lancaster University) Flexible models for spatial extremes | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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12:00 - 14:00
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Lunch break
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Session III
Chair : B. Shaby Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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14:00 - 14:45
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Petra Friederichs
(Universität Bonn) Ensemble post-processing for spatial wind gusts | Abstract |
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14:45 - 15:30
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Ben Youngman
(University of Exeter) Spatio-temporal generalised additive models for extremes: an application to return level estimation for US wind gusts | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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Session IV
Chair : D. Dupuis Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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15:30 - 16:00
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Poster Introductions (2)
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16:00 - 17:00
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Poster Session (2) and Coffee
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18:00
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Banquet - HEC Montréal
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Wednesday, August 30, 2017 |
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08:00 - 08:30
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Coffee & Croissants
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Session I
Chair : J. Wadsworth Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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08:30 - 09:15
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Alexis Hannart
(Ouranos) Probabilities of Causation of Climate Change | Abstract |
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09:15 - 10:00
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Frances Moore
(UC Davis) Detecting the Fingerprint of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Agriculture | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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10:00 - 10:30
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Coffee break
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Session II
Chair : B. Youngman Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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10:30 - 11:15
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Ben Shaby
(Penn State University) Temporal Dependence in Extreme Santa Ana Winds | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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11:15 - 12:00
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Douglas Woolford
(University of Western Ontario) Modelling Wildland Fire Risk: Examples, Challenges and Opportunities | Abstract |
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12:00 - 14:00
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Lunch break
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Session III
Chair : E. Gilleland Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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14:00 - 14:45
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Mathieu Ribatet
(Université de Montpellier) Statistical modelling of spatial extremes using the SpatialExtremes package | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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14:45 - 15:00
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Coffee break
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Session IV
Chair : A. Davison, F. Zwiers Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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15:00 - 17:00
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Panel Discussion
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Thursday, August 31, 2017 |
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08:00 - 08:30
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Coffee & Croissants
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Session I
Chair : J. Yan Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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08:30 - 09:15
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Claudia Tebaldi
(NCAR UCAR) Characterizing changes in storm surges and flood risk in the presence of sea level rise: statistical approaches and challenges | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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09:15 - 10:00
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Amir AghaKouchak
(University of California, Irvine) Multivariate Analysis in Hydrology and Climate Studies | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
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10:00 - 10:30
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Coffee break
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Session II
Chair : C. Tebaldi Meeting room(s) : Z-310 - Université de Montréal, Pavillon Claire-McNicoll |
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10:30 - 11:15
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Jun Yan
(University of Connecticut) Balancing the Variance Bias Tradeoff in Extreme Value Analysis with Applications to Return Level Mapping | Abstract |
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11:15 - 12:00
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Anthony C. Davison
(École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne) Developments in Statistical Modelling of Complex Extremes | Abstract
Diapos / Slides |
Last modified : Friday, September 29, 2017 12:18